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Red111
247440.1
468016.5
440525.6
Blue75
5159.4
521526.6
150220.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5499015020025011175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#30
40.13.9
29.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.3
51
#6
59.41.3
54.653.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4405
#17
25.63.9
18.622.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
5215
#36
26.61.3
19.017.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4680
#31
16.53.9
13.617.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1502
#22
20.51.3
18.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End