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Red81
438444.5
86244.0
83511.6
Blue58
118816.6
125033.7
170133.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101670501502002503008158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#13
44.51.1
42.341.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
1250
#16
33.71.1
23.922.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
862
#11
44.01.1
41.039.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
1701
#32
33.51.1
31.029.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
835
#10
11.61.1
12.211.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
1188
#23
16.61.1
17.316.2
Auto
Teleop
End