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Quarterfinal 4-12014 Troy FIRST Robotics District Competition
Red170
353461.5
46983.9
505321.6
Blue123
45342.3
413056.8
504828.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16612150100150200250300170123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#4
83.90.2
81.3→81.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 27.1
4130
#12
56.80.1
57.0→56.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3534
#6
61.50.2
59.0→59.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.2
453
#10
42.30.1
42.5→42.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5053
#37
21.60.2
19.1→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.5
5048
#31
28.20.1
28.4→28.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—