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Red257
353461.5
46983.9
505321.6
Blue118
45342.3
504828.2
413056.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16712050100150200250300257118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#4
83.91.6
81.583.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.1
4130
#12
56.80.2
56.956.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61.51.6
59.260.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.2
453
#10
42.30.2
42.542.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5053
#37
21.61.6
19.320.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
5048
#31
28.20.2
28.328.2
Auto
Teleop
End