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Red13
485412.5
481036.5
22639.3
Blue50
519717.7
520130.9
473731.6
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions994701502002501350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#28
39.33.9
34.530.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
4737
#20
31.60.3
24.223.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4810
#23
36.53.9
42.638.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
5201
#14
30.90.3
22.422.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4854
#39
12.53.9
14.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
5197
#16
17.70.3
8.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End