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Red79
481112.9
52268.8
24564.9
Blue112
450718.1
283231.0
413056.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410305015020025030079112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#13
64.90.0
59.359.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
4130
#12
56.80.7
56.957.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4811
#38
12.90.0
10.510.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
2832
#17
31.00.7
24.825.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5226
#34
8.80.0
8.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
4507
#35
18.10.7
17.117.7
Auto
Teleop
End