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Red127
519717.7
485412.5
46983.9
Blue104
48159.6
194112.6
505321.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13112050100150200250127104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#4
83.90.7
86.186.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 62.3
5053
#37
21.63.7
15.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5197
#16
17.70.7
16.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1941
#24
12.63.7
8.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4854
#39
12.50.7
10.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4815
#19
9.63.7
6.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End