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Red116
339820.2
477930.4
413056.8
Blue146
330216.2
3386.1
504634.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93138050200250300116146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#12
56.80.8
57.958.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.3
33
#5
86.10.7
82.983.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4779
#26
30.40.8
27.428.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
5046
#15
34.50.7
33.033.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3398
#30
20.20.8
14.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
3302
#32
16.20.7
15.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End