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Red125
296063.5
52268.8
222421.8
Blue123
283231.0
32211.8
504828.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89540100150200250125123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.52.1
57.459.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.5
2832
#17
31.03.2
26.529.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2224
#33
21.82.1
18.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
5048
#31
28.23.2
25.728.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5226
#34
8.82.1
7.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
322
#40
11.83.2
6.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End