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Red109
45342.3
520130.9
505321.6
Blue99
519717.7
481112.9
22639.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9457015020025010999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
453
#10
42.31.0
39.941.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
226
#28
39.31.8
34.736.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5201
#14
30.91.0
29.430.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
5197
#16
17.71.8
16.718.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5053
#37
21.61.0
18.919.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
4811
#38
12.91.8
11.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End