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Red119
482730.9
508624.8
439223.0
Blue118
363926.1
437643.9
437527.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5973050100150200119118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.92.9
30.133.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
4376
#11
43.92.4
35.738.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5086
#12
24.82.9
17.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
4375
#33
27.92.4
23.025.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4392
#28
23.02.9
14.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
3639
#39
26.14.0
11.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End