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Red47
439831.7
518327.5
360315.5
Blue109
171137.8
471530.3
524722.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5985010015020047109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#19
31.70.8
25.224.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
37.81.4
30.431.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5183
#30
27.50.8
20.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
4715
#18
30.31.4
29.630.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3603
#36
15.50.8
17.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
5247
#14
22.81.4
21.422.8
Auto
Teleop
End