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Red150
18965.2
368869.4
511026.0
Blue105
499513.9
171137.8
376736.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9965050150200250300150105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.42.8
62.565.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.7
37.81.7
35.637.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5110
#21
26.02.8
28.631.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
3767
#25
36.51.7
28.530.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1896
#37
5.22.8
2.85.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
4995
#35
13.91.7
6.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End