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Red49
353722.3
471530.3
497032.6
Blue79
482730.9
388626.2
439154.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821060501502002504979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#27
32.61.8
30.428.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.1
54.61.2
49.548.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4715
#18
30.31.8
34.432.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
30.91.2
32.931.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3537
#22
22.31.8
20.718.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3886
#20
26.21.2
20.118.9
Auto
Teleop
End