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Red123
498837.4
168444.7
507215.3
Blue129
376736.5
437527.9
132238.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75100050150200250123129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#31
44.72.2
39.441.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1322
#10
38.31.7
37.439.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4988
#17
37.42.2
24.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3767
#25
36.51.7
30.231.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5072
#40
15.32.2
14.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
4375
#33
27.91.7
28.229.9
Auto
Teleop
End