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Red183
508624.8
531434.0
518327.5
Blue127
521331.7
499513.9
361853.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7086050100150200250183127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#26
34.05.5
31.036.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
53.22.2
46.748.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5183
#30
27.55.5
22.528.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
5213
#29
31.72.2
25.427.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5086
#12
24.85.5
18.624.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
4995
#35
13.92.2
11.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End