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Red216
1718101.0
377329.4
309871.5
Blue126
261259.7
353830.4
30265.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215148050100250300350400216126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.00.2
101.9102.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.9
302
#5
65.10.5
66.265.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
71.50.2
72.472.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
2612
#12
59.70.5
60.860.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3773
#29
29.40.2
30.330.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3538
#24
30.40.5
31.430.9
Auto
Teleop
End