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Red121
213782.1
499825.9
46982.4
Blue125
309871.5
1718101.0
377329.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191211100150250300350121125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#9
82.41.2
83.682.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
101.01.4
103.1101.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
82.11.2
83.482.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
71.51.4
73.572.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4998
#32
25.91.2
27.125.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3773
#29
29.41.4
31.430.1
Auto
Teleop
End