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Red211
499825.9
213782.1
46982.4
Blue285
377329.4
1718101.0
309871.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191206100150250300350211285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#9
82.40.3
83.483.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
101.01.3
101.7103.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
82.10.3
83.183.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
71.51.3
72.273.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4998
#32
25.90.3
26.827.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
3773
#29
29.41.3
30.131.4
Auto
Teleop
End