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Red109
353830.4
46982.4
127.4
Blue171
521619.5
213782.1
30265.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13716750100200250300109171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#9
82.41.6
77.976.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
82.10.4
77.077.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3538
#24
30.42.2
33.531.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 34.7
302
#5
65.10.4
66.166.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1
#37
27.41.6
30.628.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
5216
#17
19.50.4
19.319.7
Auto
Teleop
End