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Red135
261259.7
505016.8
309626.0
Blue171
370738.6
6856.5
353555.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86150050100200250300135171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2612
#12
59.72.0
55.957.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
68
#16
56.51.5
55.156.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3096
#31
26.02.0
25.527.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.6
3535
#10
55.51.5
47.148.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5050
#30
16.82.4
14.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.8
3707
#20
38.61.5
38.139.7
Auto
Teleop
End