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Red46
90420.3
445311.6
495627.4
Blue95
207545.7
354621.8
516121.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549401502002504695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#18
27.40.7
21.921.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.2
2075
#16
45.70.4
52.953.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
#24
20.31.2
25.824.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3546
#28
21.80.6
18.118.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4453
#34
11.60.7
12.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
5161
#19
21.80.4
16.717.1
Auto
Teleop
End