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Red120
85851.6
167719.3
516247.2
Blue247
448329.8
448228.4
10774.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72131050100150200250300120247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#17
51.61.9
45.847.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.9
107
#9
74.56.3
73.980.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5162
#15
47.23.2
22.025.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
4483
#29
29.86.3
32.538.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1677
#39
19.31.9
13.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
4482
#10
28.46.3
15.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End