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Red121
205470.1
277148.3
432722.7
Blue112
423714.2
400363.4
167719.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15366050100200250300121112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.10.9
64.663.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
63.41.6
49.451.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2771
#22
48.30.9
49.949.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.9
1677
#39
19.31.6
15.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4327
#13
22.70.9
24.523.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
4237
#40
14.22.7
14.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End