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Red33
516121.8
445311.6
150625.0
Blue133
240519.2
7467.2
400434.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45104015020025033133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#38
25.01.1
27.026.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 42.2
74
#1
67.21.9
53.955.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5161
#19
21.81.1
17.716.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
4004
#11
34.21.9
27.129.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4453
#34
11.61.1
9.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
2405
#30
19.23.2
13.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End