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Red66
448329.8
496758.3
323437.6
Blue215
485530.7
7467.2
85851.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123125608010014016018020066215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.32.9
53.850.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
74
#1
67.24.6
55.860.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3234
#14
37.62.9
37.434.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.0
858
#17
51.64.6
49.754.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4483
#29
29.82.9
32.829.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4855
#26
30.77.1
18.425.5
Auto
Teleop
End