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Red130
531623.8
277148.3
400434.2
Blue141
8526.8
7081.8
90420.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100126050150200250300350130141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#22
48.31.3
49.050.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.5
70
#3
81.80.9
79.180.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4004
#11
34.21.3
29.130.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
85
#36
26.81.5
26.628.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5316
#31
23.82.0
26.128.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
904
#24
20.31.5
16.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End