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Red196
433732.0
516247.2
335747.3
Blue115
506929.2
207545.7
205470.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66153050100200250300350196115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#25
47.39.0
33.442.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.8
70.11.2
63.762.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5162
#15
47.29.0
25.834.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2075
#16
45.71.2
50.249.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4337
#20
32.09.0
20.729.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
5069
#23
29.21.9
25.623.7
Auto
Teleop
End