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Red130
49462.7
525530.2
448329.8
Blue105
357241.1
240519.2
485530.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13070050100150200250300350400130105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
62.70.5
60.561.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.6
3572
#12
41.12.0
37.339.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5255
#27
30.20.7
30.230.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4855
#26
30.71.9
25.527.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4483
#29
29.80.5
29.930.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2405
#30
19.21.9
16.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End