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Red70
288344.5
472812.6
45499.5
Blue111
517253.6
295728.2
41989.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5252406070809011070111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#18
44.51.5
28.229.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
53.64.9
22.427.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4728
#36
12.61.5
10.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
2957
#35
28.24.9
15.620.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4549
#48
9.51.5
13.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
4198
#49
9.14.9
14.119.0
Auto
Teleop
End