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Red22
465722.0
453118.9
527813.6
Blue78
249130.9
423820.8
284617.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562901001502002278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4657
#22
22.02.5
12.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
2491
#19
30.93.7
12.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4531
#39
18.92.5
26.223.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4238
#14
20.83.7
9.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5278
#40
13.62.5
12.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2846
#42
17.43.7
11.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End