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Red127
517253.6
321226.9
467110.7
Blue163
423820.8
465722.0
462327.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45540100150200127163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.66.7
37.344.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.9
4623
#21
27.79.2
22.932.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3212
#45
26.96.7
6.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4657
#22
22.09.2
13.823.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4671
#43
10.76.7
2.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
4238
#14
20.89.2
15.524.8
Auto
Teleop
End