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Red6
422628.9
326715.6
171610.3
Blue90
453118.9
284617.4
253823.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55470100150200690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4226
#15
28.93.9
20.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2538
#13
23.13.5
20.724.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3267
#33
15.63.9
16.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
4531
#39
18.93.5
13.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1716
#31
10.33.9
16.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
2846
#42
17.43.5
13.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End