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Red171
525314.3
313041.4
517253.6
Blue95
249130.9
534822.5
326715.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10254015020025017195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.65.1
48.653.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
2491
#19
30.92.2
28.030.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3130
#26
41.45.1
36.942.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
5348
#29
22.52.4
20.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5253
#37
14.35.1
9.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3267
#33
15.62.2
13.415.6
Auto
Teleop
End