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Red77
295728.2
321226.9
47034.6
Blue88
250622.0
305626.5
26928.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488101001502002507788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2957
#35
28.21.6
24.926.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
269
#6
28.50.8
28.228.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3212
#45
26.91.6
25.326.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3056
#11
26.50.8
25.726.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4703
#53
4.61.4
3.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.5
2506
#17
22.00.9
21.822.7
Auto
Teleop
End