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Red38
41829.6
514318.6
9336.5
Blue11
451125.3
369219.0
25038.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52510204060801001203811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93
#45
36.51.1
21.920.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
4511
#18
25.33.4
24.521.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5143
#27
18.61.1
17.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3692
#38
19.03.4
16.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4182
#40
9.61.1
12.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2503
#39
8.33.4
11.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End