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Red31
217728.7
216931.4
327813.9
Blue100
310235.9
306134.4
375537.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957505015020031100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#33
31.45.1
54.149.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
3755
#17
37.01.9
24.726.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2177
#25
28.75.1
20.315.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
35.91.9
26.228.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3278
#47
13.95.1
17.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
3061
#13
34.41.9
26.828.6
Auto
Teleop
End