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Red80
387114.9
375537.0
181632.7
Blue21
421715.5
466311.1
363019.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90330501502002508021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3755
#17
37.00.1
35.335.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
3630
#53
19.61.7
13.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1816
#16
32.70.1
29.729.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
4217
#20
15.51.7
17.315.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3871
#49
14.90.1
15.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4663
#57
11.11.7
10.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End