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Red81
401117.6
329715.7
70649.9
Blue155
310235.9
205245.3
369219.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708405010015020081155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
706
#9
49.90.7
40.741.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
45.36.1
40.346.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4011
#29
17.60.7
16.717.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.3
35.96.1
25.731.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3297
#51
15.70.7
15.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
3692
#38
19.06.1
16.022.1
Auto
Teleop
End