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Red152
247233.0
301854.5
304233.6
Blue100
171439.2
382817.0
384024.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10275050150200250152100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.54.5
50.254.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.3
1714
#22
39.21.8
34.836.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.64.5
22.026.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
3840
#12
24.91.8
24.626.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2472
#10
33.04.5
25.630.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
3828
#36
17.01.8
19.321.1
Auto
Teleop
End