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Red108
247918.5
529929.5
420726.6
Blue70
451125.3
312219.4
481826.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6754010015020010870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5299
#23
29.53.6
35.539.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4818
#37
26.61.2
16.817.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4207
#11
26.63.6
22.025.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
4511
#18
25.31.2
22.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2479
#26
18.53.6
7.210.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3122
#52
19.41.2
17.218.3
Auto
Teleop
End