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Red200
181632.7
301854.5
529929.5
Blue41
498611.8
318416.2
304233.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7046010015020020041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.511.1
28.139.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
33.60.7
17.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1816
#16
32.711.1
24.135.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
3184
#54
16.20.7
18.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5299
#23
29.58.4
33.625.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
4986
#34
11.81.4
11.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End