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Red7
247918.5
249914.0
378810.6
Blue57
297727.7
363019.6
388320.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3570050100150200250757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2479
#26
18.52.8
13.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
2977
#15
27.70.6
18.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2499
#41
14.02.8
15.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
3883
#46
20.00.6
24.724.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3788
#56
10.62.8
11.99.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
3630
#53
19.60.6
21.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End