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Red105
36908.9
477835.5
320643.0
Blue127
369926.6
448022.9
427723.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74570100150200250300350105127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.7
36.838.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.4
3699
#43
26.65.6
14.119.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4778
#26
35.52.8
20.323.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
4277
#45
23.45.6
28.534.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3690
#49
8.92.8
14.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
4480
#34
22.95.6
17.322.9
Auto
Teleop
End