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Red145
422516.8
217579.1
460742.4
Blue37
463215.1
466531.1
313418.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10960015020025014537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.12.2
66.768.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 48.0
4665
#40
31.12.5
24.121.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4607
#15
42.43.6
22.826.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.1
3134
#42
18.22.5
23.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4225
#44
16.83.6
12.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
4632
#22
15.12.5
20.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End