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Qual 892014 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red109
460742.4
466531.1
309030.1
Blue21
284716.6
302618.5
36908.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11842010015020025030010921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#15
42.40.2
44.7→45.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 23.9
3026
#37
18.52.6
23.4→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4665
#40
31.10.2
29.7→29.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.5
2847
#32
16.62.4
20.7→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3090
#14
30.10.2
31.7→31.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.2
3690
#49
8.92.4
10.1→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—