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Red45
369122.1
372212.0
298922.3
Blue101
477835.5
257414.3
216925.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5467010015045101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2989
#41
22.30.8
23.522.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
4778
#26
35.52.8
28.331.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3691
#28
22.10.8
20.119.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2169
#48
25.41.8
23.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3722
#55
12.00.8
12.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2574
#54
14.31.8
12.814.6
Auto
Teleop
End