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Red23
324422.9
282511.8
28799.6
Blue81
218141.9
248026.2
303834.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42433040506070802381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3244
#16
22.91.6
19.317.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.0
41.93.2
14.217.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2825
#60
11.81.6
12.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.9
34.73.2
17.821.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2879
#61
9.61.6
10.79.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
2480
#35
26.23.2
10.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End