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Red11
282326.6
499313.2
223224.3
Blue65
340722.3
250233.5
252926.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525602040801001201165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#51
26.63.5
18.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
2502
#13
33.50.6
27.728.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2232
#42
24.33.5
19.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
2529
#12
26.00.8
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4993
#38
13.23.5
14.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
3407
#45
22.30.8
15.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End