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Red187
182554.4
352863.5
193940.2
Blue111
464635.5
181055.5
198765.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163165100120140180200220240260187111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.50.4
65.766.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1987
#18
65.51.1
68.066.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1825
#12
54.40.4
56.757.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
55.50.9
57.556.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1939
#39
40.20.4
42.442.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
4646
#21
35.51.0
37.736.8
Auto
Teleop
End